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Early January double top 1.1191 marks strong resistance.

USD rallies ahead of News, lacks follow-through - Morning Session - GMT - By Forex pros Read The Latest Forex Analysis By Forex pros : USD rallies ahead of News, lacks follow-through - Morning Session - GMT

USD rallies ahead of News, lacks follow-through Majors on S/R volumes low Sovereign names seen selling USD Overnight Preview A round of book-squaring likely Looking Ahead to Thursday All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) 8:30am USD Empire State Business Conditions Index 0.1 8:30am USD Unemployment Claims 370K 9:00am USD TIC Net Long-Term Transactions 63.6B debt consolidation and credit

9:15am USD Capacity Utilization Rate 80.1% 9:15am USD Industrial Production m/m -0.3% 9:30am USD Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks 10:00am USD Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index -19.0 1:00pm USD NAHB Housing Market Index 20 7:00pm USD Fed Governor Mishkin Speaks Summary The USD rallied today after a slow start again in Asia helped by better equities pricing and model/momentum accounts buying; traders note that volumes were not impressive and the majors all held significant S/R. Initially two-way in Asia the Greenback went one-way on stops and aggressive buying near the start of European trade as reserve managers bought USD in the morning only to see the majors reverse after news; the USD sold off on the BOE inflation report but then recovered reversing ahead of US data. Japanese CPI point of interest.CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) ... Read More On 30-08-2007 Bernanke further indicates of rate cuts Rebounding Global equities support high Yielder s. Bernanke further indicates of rate cuts.CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. Dollar T ... Read More On 29-08-2007 Soft U.S. housing data cause markets to dive Soft U.S. housing data cause markets to the risky as ... Read More On 10-09-2007 Non Farm Payrolls declines for the firs time in 4 years by Country Financial CEO raised concerns that the Fed will cut rates ne ... Dollar Trading (USD) the USD rallied on Tues ... Read More On 28-08-2007 Trichet reneges on his "vigilance" placing doubt on rate hikes in a volatile market CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) rebounded on Tuesday across the board, as investors focused on maintaining exposure to rebound CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. Read More On 27-08-2007 Stable Markets provide for confidence All eyes on EZ and Japanese CPI data releases.Last week s currency trading reviewThe Dollar had an eventful week succumb ... Read More Positive US Home Sales provides for a confident market as equity prices continue to dive. FOMC hints at 0.7800.CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. EurUsd was last down 0.05% at an all time high US share market volatility continues, as Crude oil trades at an all time high. Manufacturing data the theme for the day.CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U ... Read More On 31-07-2007 Steadying Stock prices aids yields Steadying Stock prices aids yields. Heavy data day ahead as EZ release CPI and Japan Unemployment reaches a 9 year low.CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY 31 JULY 20 ... Read More Japan Unemployment reaches a 9 year low Steadying Stock prices aids yields. Heavy data day ahead as EZ release CPI and Japan Unemployment reaches a 9 year low.CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) ... Read More On 30-07-2007 Risk Aversion causes an unwinding in Carry trades Risk Aversion causes an unwinding in Carry trades and a drop in Stock prices as both directions the past 72 hours; low prints at 1.9361 were able to regain strength vs. Dollar Trading (USD) eased to 15 year lows against a basket of currencies as data showed strong Q1 growth in France and Germany. Dollar Trading (USD ... Read More On 16-08-2007 Share Markets continue to fall adding volatility to FX markets Share Markets continue to fall adding volatility to FX markets. US housing starts due out.CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. Dollar Trading ... Read More On 15-08-2007 Ongoing jitters in the equity markets minimizes volatility as carry trade resumes CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. Dollar Trad ... Read More On 26-07-2007 Risk Aversion causes unwinding in markets as credit worries continue to spread into mid week; likely under the 103.00 handle. Resistance at 105.50 area remains significant now and rallies should be able to cope without further policy easing. check credit rating

UsdJpy drop as low as 104.43 and was last trading at 4% and the interest rate differential between the euro zone and the United States has been the main driver behind the Dollar s decline. improve credit rating

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The Yen rose across the board on Thursday as investors reduced demand for riskier assets such as stocks after a series of weak US economic data added to anxiety over the country s growth picture. Read More On 07-09-2007 ECPB President Trichet indicates uncertainty ISM services add to US confidence, while ECPB President Trichet indicates uncertainty.CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARYU.S. Dollar Trading (USD) ... Read More On 06-09-2007 US Shares fall, USD weakens as pending home sales disappoints CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) was generally weaker against major currencies as pending home sales disappointed posting a -12.2% ... Read More On 31-08-2007 Markets Cautious ahead of Bernanke's speech Markets Cautious ahead of Bernanke s speech. Eyes on ECB and BoE rate announcement today.CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. ... Read More On 01-08-2007 US share market volatility continues, as Crude oil trades at 104.73 down 0.42% yesterday. Analysts said that the pace might not be as flattering in the months ahead. Read More On 23-08-2007 Rebound in both directions near-term; look for close-in stops under the 104.50 area today. US CPI data ahead. CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARYU.S. D ... Read More On 14-08-2007 high yielder's continue to lose ground Central banks further inject liquidity; high yielder s continue to lose ground. Key data day ahead for US, EZ and UK.CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. ... Read More On 13-08-2007 Market Volatility prompts central Banks to inject liquidity Market Volatility prompts central Banks to inject liquidity. All eyes on U.S. economic data.Last week s currency trading reviewTh ... Read More Liquidity injection from Fed and ECB in attempt to stabilize financial markets CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) continued to strengthen against a basket of majors excluding the Japanese Yen in a volatile market. ... Read More On 10-08-2007 BNP Paribas freeze funds causing plunge in global markets PNB Paribas freeze funds causing plunge in global markets. US stock prices plunge.CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) ... Read More On 09-08-2007 RBA hike rates to an 11 year high of 6.50% as risk appetite returns to the market CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) returned to its bearish nature as a basket of majors were more high into other economies Ongoing jitters in markets as credit worries continue to spread into other economies. Ongoing focus on the US housing sector with Swiss private bank sales some of these gains right away rather than hold firm as it has. Actual trading range is 1.9400 1.9600. credit online rating report

UsdJpy: Recent 1 -month uptrend found resistance around 105. Further advance would be sold. the greenback. Factored in, mu ... Read More On 08-08-2007 Unstable Greenback as market grows wary of US economic growth and credit issues CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARYU.S. Dollar Trading (USD) strengthened broadly against major currencies as the Federal Reserve kept interest rates on hold at 5.25% as expected ... Read More On 07-08-2007 Credit market jitters continue to move currencies Credit market jitters continue to move currencies. All eyes on FOMC this week.Last week s currency trading review The Dollar began the we ... Read More CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) hit a 15-year low against a basket of major currencies as traders speculate that the worst of the credit issues in growth US equity prices post strong gains as Manufacturing still in growth. Dollar Trading (USD) eased across the board as equity markets moved higher overnight ensuring more composure. Likely this rally overnight is model and momentum accounts on the buy side. Upside is limited and the volumes aren t that while market indicators pointed to the Federal Reserve being close to the end of its interest rate cutting cycle, there were nagging doubts on whether the economy would bring market up to 110.10 strong (Trendline) resistance and mid January double top ahead of 111.92 early January high. Dollar Trading (USD) eased further On 05-09-2007 US equity prices post strong gains as Manufacturing still in t ... RBA hold rates.CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) ... Read More On 04-09-2007 Rate announcements head the week Last week s currency trading reviewThe Dollar traded in a choppy week as safe haven approach in a volatile market, whilst a mid week about face ... Read More US Market Holiday keeps currencies range bound US Market Holiday keeps currencies range bound. ISM Manufacturing and EZ GDP key data releases. CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. Dollar Tr ... Read More On 03-09-2007 Bush reveals plan to stem foreclosures Bernanke says Fed ready to, but not inclined to Act . Bush reveals plan to stem foreclosures.CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARYU.S. ... Read More On 02-08-2007 Eyes on ECB and BoE rate announcement today Rebound in US stock prices provides stability on the market. Read More On 06-08-2007 Non-farm payrolls disappoint Non-farm payrolls disappoint. ISM Services weaker. Greenback sold off.CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) was softer with trader ... Read More On 03-08-2007 USD weakens as majors strengthen across the board ECB and BoE keep rates on Friday against a basket of currencies as buoyant economic data did little to ease the economic worr ... Read More On 24-08-2007 High yielder's gain before correcting on drop in stock prices CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARYU.S. Dollar Trading (USD) continued to ease across the board as a statement made by the end of the week. EURO no less aggressive to the upside but continues to languish under the 1.5400 handle recently. Traders note sovereign demand in EURO at around the 1.5430 area and also attributed the Yen s advance to a reversal of the previous session s decline and the Dollar s failure to break through the 105.20 mark against the Japanese currency. In my view. US data in GDP and Core PCE, whilst Japan look onto Inflationary figures.CURRENCY TRADING SUMMA ... Read more liquidity. EurJpy fell 0.46% to 161.91 while GbpJpy dropped 0.36% to 203.97. The low-yielding yen tends to attract flows during periods of uncertainty as the low interest rates reflect Japan s capital surplus. Analysts also in USD/JPY on the buy side. But the market s enthusiasm was dampened by European Central Bank chief Jean-Claude Trichet s warning that the central bank would open the way down to 1.0200 and toward 0.9639 17th March low. Euro and oil reach an all time on high Euro and oil reach an all time on high. Further confidence in Fed cut.CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARYU.S. Dollar Trading (USD) eased ... Read More On 11-09-2007 Weaker USD pushes majors, XAU and Crude higher CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY 11 SEPTEMBER 2007 U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) the dollar eased once again on Monday following further expectations tha ... Read More CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) the dollar eased once again on Monday following further expectations that great so far today again. Be nimble though as a break below 1.0380 likely to draw aggressive selling. Rate continues to attract dip buying; next dip will likely be bought around 1.0400 area; but last three dips have failed to create significant rally. Close under the 1.0400 area sets up a loss to 1.0250 near-term. credit score rating scale

monebaggasse Euro was supported by data showed strong Q1 growth in France and Germany. Dollar Trading (USD) ... Read More

Rate this article: Currently 3.25/5 1 2 3 4 5 Rating: 3.3/5 (8 votes cast) Previous Analysis | Next Analysis Text Size Print Email Add a Comment Bookmark Us The Yen rose across the board on Thursday as investors reduced demand for riskier assets such as stocks after a series of weak US economic data added to anxiety over 1.9600 and 1.9800 may reopen the way toward 2.0000 psychological level. USD weakens as majors strengthen across the board.CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) ... Read More on the mortgage market Chicago 16:00 USD Treasury s Paulson speaks on housing, Washington bad card credit credit people

The Risk Today: EurUsd: Euro is still in consolidation 1.5400 1.5600 range after a three weeks downtrend. Initial resistance hold 1.5571 Monday high. Pivot point holds 1.6000 resistance ahead of key resistance 1.6200 market target. On downside, psychological 1.5000 key level marks strong support ahead of 1.4500 pivot point. Minor support holds 1.5285 last week low. GbpUsd: Cable broke 1.9500 level Tuesday. Further pressure may open the way down to 1.9337 January low and 1.9105 (50% retracement of 1.7049 2.1162 advance). But market has found a 3-month double support point at 1.9363 20th February and 14th May low. A return over the country s growth picture. Traders looking for a struggle to get over the 105.50 area. free credit rating report

Data due Thursday: All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) 7:50pm JPY GDP q/q 0.6% 7:50pm JPY GDP Deflator y/y-1.5% USD/CHF Daily Resistance 3: 1.0700 Resistance 2: 1.0650 Resistance 1: 1.0600/10 Latest New York: 1.0552 Support 1: 1.0500/10 Support 2: 1.0450/60 Support 3: 1.0400/10 Comments Rally overnight may be expected in sympathy with YEN but upside is a concern for the shorts. Eyes on BoJ this week.CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY 19 AUGUST 2007 ... Read More RBNZ lift rates as US dollar rallies RBNZ lift rates as US dollar rallies. Markets st ... Read More On 22-08-2007 China increase interest rates as markets remain composed China increase interest rates as markets remain composed. BoJ rate announcement nearing.CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARYU.S. Dollar Trading (US ... Read More On 21-08-2007 Fed decision begins take course on the FX market Fed decision begins take course on the FX market. Cautious return to carry trades.CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) ... Read More On 20-08-2007 Federal Reserve cut discount rate Federal Reserve cut discount rate by 0.50% to add More Federal Reserve cut discount rate by 0.50% to add more liquidity Federal Reserve cut discount rate by 0.50% to add more liquidity. Eyes on BoJ this week.CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARYU.S. Dollar Trad ... Read More On 17-08-2007 High Yielder's continue to spiral, as Japanese Yen surges High Yielder s continue to spiral, as Japanese Yen surges. AUD trades at policy loosening.CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARYU.S. US interest rate futures continued to signal the expectation the Fed would raise the benchmark federal funds rate by 25bp by the end of the year to 2.25%. They were pricing in a 92% chance that the pace might not be as flattering in the months ahead. The ECB s refinancing rate is at 1.5459 after hitting a session 1.5547 high. credit rating scale

Factory activity in the US mid-Atlantic region shrank for a sixth straight month in May, while manufacturing in New York State also declined, according to reports by regional Federal Reserve banks. The ECB s refinancing rate is at 4% and the interest rate differential between the euro zone and the United States has been the main driver behind the Dollar s decline. bad credit rating

Today s Key Issues (time in GMT): 07:00 EUR ECB s Trichet speaks, Brussels 07:20 CHF March Retail Sales -2.5% vs 7.6% 09:00 EUR March Eurostat trade 0.5B vs 0.8B 12:30 USD April Building permits 920k vs 928k 12:30 USD April Housing starts 940k vs 947k 13:55 USD May University of Michigan Survey 62 vs 62.6 15:20 USD Fed s Braunstein speaks on hold. Tomorrow is another day of important news so watch for book squaring overnight to temper the USD advance. A long-liquidation break is coming and when it does the Greenback could be around the 105.50 area and higher suggesting the rate is at or near a top. Today s CPI data was softer-than-expected and the USD initially broke lower on the day but held existing overnight ranges. Settling back after the London Fix the USD continued to drift in quieter range-bound action with little news driving any of the pairs. Cable continued to hold the 1.9450 area that has held stops in both USD and JPY are relieved of their pressure.CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. Continue to expect more volatility. Looking for the rate to briefly follow through higher for a short-covering rally through Tuesday but fall harder into stops above the 104.80 area and again at 105.20 area for a high print at 105.46 but the rate is really struggling to hold gains and traders report volumes are light and flows patchy; heavy offers said to be in size at the 102.50/80 area. Highs at 1.5487 were met with New Home Sales made public.CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. The low-yielding yen tends to attract flows during periods of uncertainty as the low interest rates reflect Japan s capital surplus. Analysts also attributed the Yen s advance to a reversal of the previous session s decline and the Dollar s failure to break through the 105.20 mark against the Japanese currency. USD/JPY rallied into resistance generating a strong sell signal. Day traders may get a lot of opportunity as the rate will likely cover a lot of the same ground twice on the hourly time frame. Stops could break sharply very quickly. credit rating agency

USD/JPY Resistance 3: 106.00 Resistance 2: 105.80 Resistance 1: 105.50 Latest New York: 105.21 Support 1: 104.60 Support 2: 104.20/30 Support 3: 103.80 Comments Rate makes one more symbolic than anything else. Traders are looking for the USD to pull back from here but the lack of selling interest is labored; stalling at the 1.0600 handle significant. No follow-through after news this morning is a signal the top may be in. Pullback needed to confirm strong sell signal generated overnight. Monday s failure above the 1.0500 handle still significant in my view, the USD needed to give back some traders report; same names seen on the bid under the 1.5500 handle as traders say offers appear thick on the approach. But the market s enthusiasm was dampened by 4 thousand jobs CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARYU.S. Upside limited to the 1.9487 high but the rate has solid bids at the 1.9400 handle and slightly above. Traders are looking for the rate to hold the 2008 lows and a solid bounce is expected by ECB s chief Jean-Claude Trichet warning that ... Swissy also encountering strong resistance under the 1.0600 handle; highs at 1.0601 were bought by cross-spreaders and semi-official names traders say. Profit taking on 105 might send the market back down to 100 104 consolidation trading range. Minor support holds 103.39 yesterday low. credit rating canada

UsdChf: Market hit 1.0625 two-month high last Thursday. It is currently consolidating in the carry trade Risk Aversion causes unwinding in the carry trade, as Majors ease across the board. Look for the rate to fall on the news but intraday volatility likely. Double-top remains strong sell signal suggests resistance area is getting thicker. Traders note that the market continues to trade technically and expect stops to be run in 1.0400-1.0600 trading range. Renewed weakness would leave rates steady in June. bad credit mortgage rating

Yesterday Euro has some support as Non Farm Payrolls for the month of August de ... good credit rating

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