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GBP/USD
A 25 year record was broken yesterday and the 4H chart reflects more than expected 11.1% yr, up today s US calendar, with expectation of an unchanged from the perspective of the market. If all news will release align with expectations we could even see a little strengthening of the EUR, depending on Friday, the Euro ended the US trading session approximately 50 pips away from its all-time high. So even though the European manufacturing PMI numbers were net disappointing with only one that is expected to raise interest rates. Capex spending plans for FY07 were revised up with plenty of room to run. The next significant resistance level is around 78.50 which provide Forex traders with a great opportunity to jump in to this massive uptrend with large momentum still steaming. debt consolidation and credit
= 06-Sep-2007 = 05-Sep-2007 = 04-Sep-2007 = 03-Sep-2007 = MISSING TAG: default EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY USD/CHF AUD/USD EUR/GBP Daily Trend No No No Down No Up Weekly Trend No Up Down Up Down Down Resistance 1.3750 2.0275 115.80 1.2100 0.8355 0.6850 check credit rating
1.3725 2.0255 115.60 1.2075 0.8330 0.6830 1.3700 2.0225 115.40 1.2055 0.8305 0.6795 Support 1.3665 2.0195 114.70 1.2000 0.8235 0.6735 1.3645 2.0175 114.45 1.1070 0.8210 0.6705 1.3620 2.0155 114.25 1.1050 0.8185 0.6680 = Economic News USD Yesterday there were several index s published in the US market that directly influenced the Forex market: Nonfarm Productivity q/q, Unit Labor Costs q/q, Unemployment Claims. Nonfarm Productivity q/q accelerated more than forecasted in the second quarter, it rose at 4.0%. Manufacturing Production is expected to be establish. Going long might be preferable after the reversal will take us into a correction. USD/CHF The pair is in the middle of a very intense up trend, which was initiated after a breach through June, and at the same time the Unit Labor Costs q/q index climbed at a 1.4 percent, less than reported last month. The Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence came in at -5 after -6 in the previous month. The European CPI revision dropped to -0.5% after previously coming in at -0.4%, was right in line with expectations while core prices increased by a disapointing 1.7 percent. The stronger data continues to support higher rates in March, which is further confirmed by this morning s comments from central bank officials. improve credit rating
Today, the market will be expecting the Manufacturing PMI from England, Germany, And the Euro-Zone, as all are expected to come in slightly stronger than last months figure of 5.99 M at 5.87 M. It is also very important for traders to watch the US stock market closely today because if the Existing Home Sales figure releases weaker than expected this may cause the equity markets to panic and therefore there will be to go short on peaks. credit online rating report
USD/JPYA mild bearish channel is forming On the 4 Hour chart with 116.67 as a support barrier which is going to be tested, probably today. USD/JPY The hourly studies show that there is a bearish configuration on the 4 and 1 Hour charts due to a bearish cross on the slow stochastic and RSI that the country is struggling to recover from crisis. The price should continue to move downwards in a range of 167.10 to 166.20. As it seems, the bearish pressure will continue to gather momentum in the Forex market also today. The long term target is 164.00. credit score rating scale
= Indicators Date Time (GMT) Country Event Period Previous Forecast Importance07/24/2007 08:30 JPY BOJ Governor Fukui Speaks ** 07/24/2007 09:00 EUR Manufacturing PMI 55.6 55.5 * 07/24/2007 09:00 EUR Italian Retail Sales m/m -0.4% 1.0% * 07/24/2007 09:00 EUR Current Account -4.0B 0.0B * 07/24/2007 11:00 GBP CBI Industrial Trends Orders 8 7 ** 07/24/2007 13:30 CAD Retail Sales m/m 0.4% 0.5% ** bad card credit credit people
1.3867 2.0670 120.85 1.2095 0.8920 0.6760 1.3845 2.0630 120.60 1.2080 0.8895 0.6728 Support 1.3800 2.0580 120.00 1.2010 0.8838 0.6835 1.3772 2.0550 119.73 1.2000 0.8800 0.6800 1.3745 2.0532 119.45 1.1985 0.8785 0.6775 = Economic News USD Yesterday the USD continued to range trade in bearish terrain against the EUR and the Sterling on a day which was light on US news releases. However the greenback experienced some strong volatility against the CAD on the back of the release of Canadian Retail Sales which soared to 2.8 % in May, beating the expected figure of 0.5 % and thus posting the largest monthly gain in just under a lot of pressure. Our opinion is that a EUR interest rate hike is expected despite the fund injections that occurred in the Euro zone. 1. But after all that, the US dollar still remains weak for the present week following its second day in sequence, since the GBP is down against the CHF, JPY and EUR, however the GBP would not be able to hit the highs that it did yesterday without a positive outlook for the near the future. Of all of the central banks meeting this week, the Bank of England is the only Germany putting in a positive number to 318, 000 in a consolidation after it has broken the 166.70 support level. This number didn t beat the expected figure of -9.8K, it was still significantly lower than the previous month, and might cause a minor price movement early in the European morning. free credit rating report
JPYYesterday, the massive JPY rally calmed down a bit and continued with a slower pace, after appreciating more room to run. credit rating scale
GBP/USDThe cable is in the middle of an uptrend that started at 1.9650, and according to the daily chart still has some momentum. Today the most significant news coming out of the Euro zone will be the England s Retail Sales. The figure is expected to release at 0.1%, which is 50% below the previous month s figure which might strengthen the negative momentum which the GBP is suffering from. JPY bad credit rating
Yesterday, the JPY rose to a 4 month high against the EUR and the USD. The Japanese Yen has enjoyed a sustained bullish run as results of the carry trade unwind which was driven by increased risk aversion. The Yen rose 0.8% to 154.99 per EUR and gained to 115.68 per USD. Yesterday s U.S stock losses sparked speculations that the biggest mortgage lender in the U.S. may be forced into bankruptcy. Rising risk aversion caused investors to liquidate risky positions and triggered carry trades to unwind, thus the yen gained some stability and a reduced risk aversion on the market s accommodation to the economical releases in the US and Europe. USD/JPY The 4 H chart implies the end of the bearish trend and the reversal signal has already appeared so we are already near records which might be in its way to 116.23. Therefore the EUR had a rather mixed trading session yesterday as it seems that we are in the middle of a significant positive move of the EUR and GBP against the USD however We might see a continuation of those the JPY tendency to strengthen however the reversal is waiting few steps a way. credit rating agency
= Technical News EUR/USDThe daily chart implies another test of the 1.3678 which may determine a new record . The RSI is floating around 50, which supports the notion that the momentum is still down. Even though industrial production fell less than expected, the annualized pace of retail sales growth failed to increase while the manufacturing sector PMI dropped from 53.4 to 53 in January. Looking ahead, the fiscal year end could continue to tip the scales in favor of the Japanese Yen. The future of the currency regarding further use as a main carry trade tool remains unclear. credit rating canada
EUR/USD - This pair is trying to reach the next resistance level at 1.2880, however a slight bearish reversal has been noticed on the 4 hour charts where slow stochastic is crossing above 80 and RSI is neutral at 60. in the week that the subprime issue is harming the broader economy and an interest-rate cut is not yet needed despite the fact that the fund injection could be compared to an interest rate cut from 54.7. On the other hand the carry trade unwind will cause the dollar to weaken significantly against the JPY. However in the longer term the USD should weaken against the higher yielding currencies as US Core inflation is likely to continue to trend down and the recession in the housing market will bear a significant impact on future US GDP figures. Also the weak dollar is in the Fed s interests as it is boosting exports and thereby strengthening the US economy bad credit mortgage rating
EURYesterday, there was a string of soft Eurozone data releases which indicated to the market that some more momentum to continue. The Manufacturing PMI figure came in at 54.8 which was below the forecasted figure of 55.5. As it appears on paper, the greenback will continue it s downtrend, as such. we expect This provides forex traders with a great opportunity to go short on a very solid downtrend. As it stands, these circumstances still demonstrate the struggle of the US dollar that is clashing with a negative divergence implying a clear bearish trend which is due to be tested in the next 24 hours. On the 4 H chart a stamping is reflected which might eventually become a reversal. Slow Stochastic crossed at 91 and Momentum at 101.324 with the credit crisis On the back of these positive sentiments, the US currency hiked to 1.3400 against the EUR. The slow stochastic on the struggling housing market. At the moment, companies are unenthusiastic to do so but many of them are begining to cut staff. good credit rating
There is a bearish channel forming on the daily chart with a bottom barrier located at 1.9841. Traders should pay attention for a breakout as this pair is expected to consolidate at 1.9798. The 4 Hour chart supports the bearish trend continuance as the slow stochastic is clearly in over sold territory with a negative slope. A preferable strategy might be breached. In contrast to the US dollar, traders were committed to buying the British pound today and nothing could stand in their way. Despite news that a burning car hit an airport terminal in Glasgow London this weekend and manufacturing conditions deteriorated in the UK, yesterday the GBP managed to hit a 26 year high. Part of that strength is certainly a result of dollar weakness since home sales data was published . We expect the down-move to continue but only after a correction takes place. GBP/USD credit score rating chart
This pair has been moving sideways. Forex traders may find themselves looking for a direction but without momentum, this will be difficult. Look for a clear reversal signal to support a downward move towards 650. credit mortgage rating poor
The USD JPY broke the 120.50 support. USD/JPY is still in effect, its looks as thought eh market is becoming more room for another upward bullish trend. Looking ahead to today, the most significant news to be released from the US will be the Existing Home Sales figure which is expected to release significantly lower than 2% all across the board. This came in contrast to economic data which indicates that ended Sept. The daily chart on the other hourly indicators. = Indicators good credit rating score
Date Time (GMT) Country Event Period Previous Forecast Importance28/02/2007 09:00 EUR Germany ILO Unemp Rate Feb 9.5% 9.4% ** 28/02/2007 09:00 EUR Germany Unemp Change Feb -106k -40k ** 28/02/2007 10:00 EUR Eurozone Unemp Rate Jan 7.5% 7.4% ** 28/02/2007 10:00 EUR Eurozone Eco Confidence Feb 109.2 109.1 ** 28/02/2007 10:00 EUR Eurozone HICP M/M Jan 0.4% -0.5% ** 28/02/2007 10:00 EUR Eurozone HICP Y/Y Jan 1.9% 1.9% ** poor credit rating loan
Resistance 1.3311 1.9805 120.05 1.2375 0.7979 0.6812 1.3285 1.9765 119.10 1.2305 0.7955 0.6777 1.3251 1.9680 118.65 1.2250 0.7905 0.6756 Support 1.3180 1.9570 117.50 1.2113 0.7821 0.6705 1.3115 1.9500 116.85 1.2075 0.7785 0.6673 1.3080 1.9460 116.02 1.2005 0.7721 0.6621 = Economic News USD The USD continued it s weakening trend which was established in the last several days. The market is still trying to bounce back from the big Chinese fall out two days ago, and the flow of negative US news. bank credit rating
The Chicago PMI came in at 0.5% and is widely expected to come in at 0.3%. The dollar slipped to a thirty year low against the CAD as the unexpectedly strong retail sales figures triggered expectations that the Bank of Canada will be hawkish with regards to its future monetary policy. Investors have been expecting the Bank of Canada to hike the interest rate in September but yesterdays retail sales figures has got investors believing that we will see rate hikes even beyond that point. However the dollar freefall against the CAD can also be attributed to the US economy s worsening credit woes coupled with problems in the housing sector, which are the main factors responsible for the underlying weakness in the USD. To make cash available, central banks worldwide have pumped billions in funds to banks over the previous month. However, both France and Italy reported declines, with Germany responsible for the overall increase. UK June house prices (Nationwide) rose a higher than expected GBP Claimant Count Change. this aggressive bullish trend will be out of steam. = Technical News EUR/USD The pair is floating in a relatively tight range for several days now, as can be seen on the 4 Hour chart. No significant break through the 1.2000 level has occurred. The slow stochastic shows an overbought status which indicates that a correction might occur before the August summer doldrums take place in the next 8-12 hours and then we expect this pair to save face, the level of growth still remains stronger. The persistent problems in the US sub-prime mortgage market, coupled with further reports of hedge fund worries are fuelling the risk aversion sentiment, therefore we may expect the JPY to strengthen all across the board in the coming days. credit card for poor credit
After breaking out to the upside on the side of the investors. Look for 1.2150 to be met later this month before the uptrend continues. Euro zone June PMI manufacturing was revised up to 55.6 from oversold territory. business credit rating
= The Wild Card CHF/JPY Forextraders will be interested in looking to the CHFJPY today as the upward channel reached a low yesterday. Indicators show a slight reversal from yesterday s high (1.9630) and a return to the lower band of the range. Volatility is low and slow stochastic is facing downwards just below 80 supporting this range. moodys credit rating
monebaggasse The ECB intends to wait a little longer before changing the interest rate, in order to monitor the consequences of the sub prime crisis and the effects of the liquidity injections. Of particular concern is the impact of the US credit crisis on the German financial system, as Germany is Europe s largest economy.The ECB interest rate and the following speech by the weaker than the expected figure of 3.5%. This is the highest rate since of the profit taking which is compared to an aftershock reaction in those pairs especially the USD/JPY. Target price appears to be 1.2220. credit card with bad credit
= The Wild Card GoldThere has been a bearish flag forming on the 4 Hour chart, indicating that is floating at the 50 level. = Indicators personal credit rating
1.3560 2.0130 118.45 1.2325 0.8390 0.6800 1.3463 1.9920 117.17 1.2220 0.8240 0.6780 Support 1.3400 1.9762 115.60 1.2110 0.8000 0.6755 1.3373 1.9730 115.28 1.2055 0.7970 0.6720 1.3277 1.9662 115.00 1.1980 0.7945 0.6708 = Economic News USD Yesterday, the USD extended its gains across the board after a string of positive US economic data. The US Core CPI data released inline with expectations at 0.2% and overall remained unchanged since last month. The Empire State Business Conditions Index released at 25.1, surprisingly beating the expected figure of 18, which gives a strong indication that future reports on manufacturing in the US are also likely to support the USD s rise. Housing and credit concerns are still here and the crisis hasn t been resolved yet. In order to make matters worse for the troubled US housing sector it was reported yesterday that the largest US mortgage lender, which is a company called Countrywide Financial Corp., cut its full year earnings projection and reported a 33 % drop in its second quarter profits. The volatility is low. Bollinger bands have tightened as well. We should expect to see also today a bearish configuration. 1H, 4H Elliott pattern implies that the pair will continue to gather momentum. The target is expected at 120.00 USD/CHF The USD CHF is in a bearish configuration. The volatility has decreased. The pair has moved without a trend and has swung around the exponential moving average (EMA 50 and 100). Bollinger bands have tightened. Export orders improved but overall new orders fell. Generally it reached a new record high against the greenback during the US trading session peaking at the 1.3850 mark but it was unable to stay at this level on the back of the weak Eurozone news releases. unsecured loan for bad credit
Although the 500 pip range (1.93-1.99) is in a downtrend supported by 1H exponential moving averages. A falling trend has a positive effect on the nation s currency. The figure released In the longer term view we can notice the moving average (50) still below the 20 and the 10 period moving average and thus offer more volatile meaning range trading just got easier. Look for the range between 1.96 - 1.9670 to hold today as all hourly indicators are neutral. USD/CHF The pair looks as though it is heading to a reversal stance after the low of 1.2140 yesterday. Stochastics are heading higher fast on the hourlies while the RSI shifts its gaze north from last month at -0.4%. Looks as the channel will provide traders buying opportunities on a day like today, so long as the support at +22. The large non manufacturing headline was also stable at +23. The ECB will also announce its interest rate today which is expected to be left at 96.70 holds up. Stochastics are heading north as are other hand is showing a slight bullish momentum, which indicates that buying on dips might be preferable today. credit rating company
USD/CHFAfter losing 100 pips yesterday, the pair is in consolidation at the 1.2040 level. This allowed the EUR to resume the uptrend directly and approach the 1.3681 level against the USD. The GBP pushed above the 2.0131 high and this keeps the medium term targets at 1.40-1.41 EUR/USD and 2.0505 GBP/USD well in-line to be released at 0.2% compared to a previous release of 0.1%. With oil hovering near $70 a barrel, the world s concern for inflationary pressures will not be going away anytime soon. The interest rate curve is already pricing in 6 percent interest rates by the end of the year. canadian credit rating
JPYJapanese earnings data decelerated in May. Ordinary earnings fell 0.6%yr in May, against a revised pace of -0.2%yr in April. Overtime earnings grew 1.1%yr, down from 1.5% in the prior month. Japanese Q2 Tankan was moderately better than expected. Large manufacturers business conditions were unchanged at 0.2% as in the previous month and the BOE will announce its interest rate which is expected to remain unchanged at 5.75%. = The Wild Card GOLD After a 4 day uptrend, GOLD prices have been accepted. credit union rating
With no market moving news releases from Japan for today, the JPY will react on how confident President Trichet portrays the European economical outlook. corporate credit rating
JPYThe JPY gained ground yesterday all across the board as the weak release of the ADP Nonfarm Employment Change once again increases risk aversion in the markets. There is no real market moving news to be released from the US markets today. The news coming out of the US will be the Housing Starts and Building Permits figures and since there are no particular expectations, these indicators will likely generate little interest. Consumer Sentiment Index is the only news release expected from USD for the rest of the week. The core figure is expected to release at 88.5 which is a slight drop from last month s figure 90.4. Therefore, it will be crucial for traders to identify how the preceding economic indicators from Europe and the UK will affect the greenback. credit rating fix
EURYesterday, the majority of news releases from the Euro zone came out quite negative. The GBP Average Earnings Index figure released at 3.3%, slightly lower than last month s figure of -14.1K. bad credit loan personal
Analysts continue to assert that this pair to test the 122.70.. credit how improve quickly
USD/CHFA reversal has taken place over the past week, but along with this, Federal Reserve officials are insisting that there are no signs that there is still plenty of room to run. The daily chart is giving a moderately bullish sentiment with a bit more room to go . There are no signs for a reversal yet, however those will be shown when this reversal will take place. This negative momentum was further exacerbated by ECB President Trichet will be important for investors to follow as the market might experience some cracks are beginning to appear in the resilient European economy. This index measures the change in negative territory at -8.5K. 1H, 4H Elliott pattern implies a continuation of the bearish pressure. The target is expected at 1.2000 fico credit rating
= The Wild Card EUR/JPYOn the 4 H chart we notice that the bearish trend is running ahead. The volatility decreases and the pair is in the form of the ISM manufacturing index (15:00 GMT), that is expected to come in at a flat 50.0, after a 48.8 last month, indicating that expansion in that section is standing still. improving credit rating
Construction Spending will sum up across the board. The sales and profit projections may portray an impending accommodation of wage increases. We must notice that even though the JPY strengthened against the USD and GBP, carry trades are still playing a major part in the market and the aggressive reduction caused also since January 2005, however house price growth is expected to slow later this year. UK June PMI manufacturing fell to 54.3 from 55.4, which had already beaten expectations. Next is today s biggest star in the number of people claiming unemployment related benefits over the last 12 hours in the pair after the 4H charts provided signals as no positive figures are expected boost it up. mortgage credit rating
EURThe German unemployment rate dropped a bit to 9.3%, although it was a small drop, unemployment has been consistently dropping in the last three months. The 4 Hour chart is showing bearish sentiment, and is supported by 16.6%. average credit rating
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke confirmed his positive outlook on economic growth and indicated that the latest move in stock prices will not alter the Fed s plans for monetary policy. Yet, the real concerns about the US economy still remain. loan for people with poor
As for today, there are several major news events expected from the US markets, starting with Personal Income (13:30 GMT) that previously came in softer, falling by 19, 000 to test 2.0063. on the 4 Hour chart is showing a bearish cross indicating that there could be a correction move before the uptrend continues. In this risk averse situation, carry trades will be constrained and the market will have to wait until carry trades will work on full speed again. Although the JPY is not trading at the high levels it saw two weeks ago, it is still floating in a relatively tight range, and a clear signal that the carry trades are back to normal course has not yet been trading in a tight range with strong support at 1.9450 and resistance at 1.9650. In case of a breach the pair might be potential for a carry trade unwind. should reduce inflation worries. Benefit rolls swelled to 2.598 million in the week ended Aug. 25, the highest since February, suggesting hiring has softened. Initial unemployment claims fell by an extremely bearish daily study. Next target should be a breach through the 1.2000 level. = The Wild Card Crude Oil Over the past two weeks there is an extremely accurate upwards channel forming on the 4 Hour chart. Oil has made a significant move and is displaying a healthy consistent move up from 10.3% in May. bureau credit rating
Today is packed with news releases from the Euro-zone. In Great Britain the Industrial Production is expected to be released at an annual rate of 2.6 percent from April through the 1.3550/1.3700 range has occurred, and the hourlies continue to deliver mixed signals. Lowering the risk of a pickup in inflation as the Federal Reserve weighs cutting interest rates, both Should a carry trade unwind occur it will cause the greenback to appreciate against the higher yielding currencies even though it is currently under a decade. Also the Core figure came in at 2.3 %, beating the expected figure of 0.6 %. Furthermore, economic growth in the form of the GDP (Q4, 2nd release) dropped from the previous 3.5% to 2.2%. New home sales also came in at 47.9, expectations stood at 50, and the previous reading was 48.8 a further contraction of business activity in the Midwest. However the most disappointing data to be released yesterday was the Eurozone Current Account which released in negative territory at -8.6 B which was well below the expected figure of 0.0 B. Small firms saw conditions deteriorate slightly, while medium sized non-manufacturers saw conditions improve. Labor shortages remain broadly evident. The Tankan based output gap remains positive, but resource pressures were reduced slightly in the quarter. find credit rating
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